17 February 2010

Interesting Parallels on Insurgencies

A column at the UK Telegraph points out that the Taliban are in full retreat.

This is not a good time to be a Taliban fighter. As Nato forces consolidate their hold over large swathes of southern Helmand following the resounding success of Operation Moshtarak, which was launched at the weekend, we learn that Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar has been captured at the safe house in Karachi where he has been hiding out.

Pakistani security officials report that Baradar was actually taken into custody on February 8, several days before the Moshtarak offensive was launched, and this might explain why the American, British and Afghan forces charged with clearing the Taliban out of their main terror bases in Helmand have met with such relatively light resistance.

Baradar is credited with being the strategic mastermind behind the Taliban’s dogged resistance to Nato’s attempts to pacify the country, and if he was no longer able to direct operations then it is easy to understand why the Taliban have been reluctant to fight.

But while Nato forces have acquitted themselves admirably – with the tragic exception of the rogue missile that killed several Afghan civilians – by clearing the Taliban from places like Nad-e-Ali, the task of stabilising Helmand is far from complete. As Major-General Nick Carter, the head of British forces in Helmand, remarked yesterday, we have only reached the end of the beginning in terms of the formidable challenges that lie ahead.

Securing the ground is just the first step in a far broader counter-insurgency, where the primary objective is to persuade local Afghans to renounce their support for the Taliban and embrace the government of President Hamid Karzai.

Even though the Taliban are no longer prepared to stand and fight for their beliefs on the field of battle, they are unlikely to shy away from the battle for Afghan hearts and minds, and we will need to be on our mettle if we are to prevail.


Then there's this interesting point in the comments:
You are either ignorant of, or choose not to recall, the hard lesson that General Conwallis learned at Guildford Court House during the War of Rebellion. Cornwallis won a hard-fought victory and gained a few acres of ground that he was in no position to hold. Almost out of provisions, and unable to forage among hostile surroundings, he was forced to retreat. Although defeated, Nathanael Greene and his North Carolinian militia retired in good order to fight another day.
“I assure you that I am quite tired of marching about the country in quest of adventures,” Cornwallis afterwards wrote to a soldier friend. I can well imagine those sentiments now being echoed in Afghanistan, as rather than make a suicidal stand against overwhelming odds, the Taliban melts away, to fight another day.



By: Brant

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